Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes  

24 March 2025

Cointelegraph by Zoltan Vardai

  ​

Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high of $110,000 before any significant retracement, according to some market analysts, who cite easing inflation and rising global liquidity as key factors supporting the price rally.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been rising for two consecutive weeks, achieving a bullish weekly close just above $86,000 on March 23, TradingView data shows.

Combined with fading inflation-related concerns, this may set the stage for Bitcoin’s rally to the $110,000 all-time high, according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom.

Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

BTC/USD, 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Hayes wrote in a March 24 X post:

“I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter cause of “transitory inflation.” JAYPOW told me so.”

Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

Source: Arthur Hayes

“What I mean is that the price is more likely to hit $110k than $76.5k next. If we hit $110k, then it’s yachtzee time and we ain’t looking back until $250k,” Hayes added in a follow-up X post.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is when the US Federal Reserve shrinks its balance sheet by selling bonds or letting them mature without reinvesting proceeds, while quantitative easing (QE) means that the Fed is buying bonds and pumping money into the economy to lower interest rates and encourage spending during difficult financial conditions.

Other analysts pointed out that while the Fed has slowed QT, it has not yet fully pivoted to easing.

“QT is not “basically over” on April 1st. They still have $35B/mo coming off from mortgage backed securities. They just slowed QT from $60B/mo to $40B/mo,” according to Benjamin Cowen, founder and CEO of IntoTheCryptoVerse.

Related: Bitcoin may recover to $90K amid easing inflation concerns after FOMC meeting

Meanwhile, market participants await the Fed’s expected pivot to quantitative easing, which has historically been positive for Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

BTC/USD, 1-week chart, 2020–2021. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The last period of QE in 2020 led to a more than 1,000% surge in Bitcoin’s price, from around $6,000 in March 2020 to a then-record high of $69,000 in November 2021. Analysts believe a similar setup could be forming again.

Related: Bitcoin reserve backlash signals unrealistic industry expectations

Macro conditions may support Bitcoin’s rally to $110,000

Bitcoin’s recovery to above $85,000 after last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting was a bullish sign for investor sentiment that may signal more upside, according to Enmanuel Cardozo, market analyst at real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform Brikken.

The macroeconomic environment also “supports” a Bitcoin rally to $110,000, the analyst told Cointelegraph.

“Global liquidity has risen, discussions around a US Bitcoin strategic reserve, potentially driving Bitcoin toward that $110,000 mark as BTC liquidity available in exchanges keeps dropping, leading to a supply squeeze scenario,” he said.

“However, a correction to $76,500 aligns with Bitcoin’s historical volatility, often triggered by profit-taking or unexpected market shifts,” he added.

Other analysts also see a high likelihood of Hayes’ prediction playing out.

“Given Bitcoin’s recent close above the 21-day and 200-day moving averages, this bullish momentum aligns with his view. However, the $88K resistance remains a key hurdle,” Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told Cointelegraph.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s odds of June highs, SOL’s $485M outflows, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 2 – 8

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

 

You might also like

NAYG lawsuit against Galaxy was ‘lawfare, pure and simple' — Scaramucci  
NAYG lawsuit against Galaxy was ‘lawfare, pure and simple' — Scaramucci  

The New York State Attorney General’s (NAYG) recent legal action against Galaxy Digital over its promotional ties to the now-collapsed cryptocurrency Terra (LUNA) was unfair and an abuse of the legal system, says SkyBridge Capital and founder Anthony Scaramucci.“It’s LAWFARE, pure and simple due to an obscure but dangerously powerful New York law known as the Martin Act,” Scaramucci said in a March 28 X post.Martin Law can “open the door for abuse”“The law has no need to prove intent, creating a low standard of proof that can open the door for abuse like this. It shouldn’t exist,” he said.New York’s Martin Act is one of the US’s strictest anti-fraud and securities laws, allowing prosecutors the power to pursue financial fraud cases without needing to prove intent. The NAYG alleged that Galaxy Digital violated the Martin Act over its alleged promotion of Terra, with Galaxy Digital agreeing to a $200 million settlement.According to NAYG documents filed on March 24, Galaxy Digital acquired 18.5 million LUNA tokens at a 30% discount in October 2020, then promoted them before selling them without abiding by disclosure rules. Scaramucci reiterated that Galaxy CEO Michael Novogratz was under the impression everything he was saying about Luna was true, as he had been deceived by Terraform Labs and its former CEO, Do Kwon.Source: Amanda FischerMeanwhile, MoonPay president of enterprise, Keith Grossman, said he had never heard of the Martin Act and had to look it up using AI chatbot ChatGPT.“It is so broad and essentially is the essence of lawfare,” Grossman said. “Sorry you got caught in the crosshairs of it, Mike,” he added.Related: Sonic unveils high-yield algorithmic stablecoin, reigniting Terra-Luna ‘PTSD’The filing alleged that Galaxy helped a “little-known” token, referring to LUNA, increase its market price from $0.31 in October 2020 to $119.18 in April 2022 while “profiting in the hundreds of millions of dollars.”Asset manager and investor Anthony Pompliano said he isn’t familiar with the details of the lawsuit but vouched for Novogratz, calling him a “good man” who has devoted a lot of time and money to helping others.The Terra collapse is one of the crypto industry’s most infamous failures. In March 2024, SEC attorney Devon Staren said in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York that Terra was a “house of cards” that collapsed for investors in 2022.Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

Elon Musk’s sale of X to xAI just made fraud lawsuit a ‘lot spicer’  
Elon Musk’s sale of X to xAI just made fraud lawsuit a ‘lot spicer’  

Billionaire investor Elon Musk has sold his social media platform X to his AI startup xAI, sparking controversy as it coincides with a US judge rejecting his bid to dismiss a lawsuit tied to the social media platform.The transfer of ownership of X to xAI on March 28 means that the class-action lawsuit against Musk — accusing him of defrauding former Twitter shareholders by delaying the disclosure of his initial investment in the social media platform — has become “a whole lot spicer,” Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran said in a March 28 X post.Acquisition may open up xAI to more ‘exposure’On the same day that Musk said “xAI has acquired X in an all-stock transaction,” a US judge reportedly rejected Musk’s attempt to dismiss the lawsuit. Cochran said it has “opened up his AI entity to exposure here too, and it’s a much bigger pie.”Source: GrokMusk said the deal values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, factoring in $12 billion in debt from the $45 billion valuation. He originally bought X, formerly Twitter, for around $44 billion in April 2022.“xAI and X’s futures are intertwined. Today, we officially take the step to combine the data, models, compute, distribution and talent,” Musk said.Source: Bryan Rosenblatt“This combination will unlock immense potential by blending xAI’s advanced AI capability and expertise with X’s massive reach,” he said, adding:“This will allow us to build a platform that doesn’t just reflect the world but actively accelerates human progress.”However, Cochran claimed that “Musk used his pumped up xAI stock to pay multiple times over value for X, but still take an $11B loss on the transaction.” He said that Musk is “screwing over xAI investors, and X investors” and was executed to sell user data to xAI.Related: Elon Musk’s ‘government efficiency’ team turns its sights to SEC — ReportxAI is best known for its AI chatbot “Grok” which is built into the X platform. When Musk released it in November 2023, he claimed it could outperform OpenAI’s first iteration of ChatGPT in several academic tests.Source: Raoul PalMusk explained at the time that the motivation behind building Grok is to create AI tools equipped to assist humanity by empowering research and innovation.While Cochran said that Grok being valued at $80 billion is an “insanely dumb valuation,” crypto developer “Keef” disagrees. Keef said, “This is shady all around, but given the day, Grok is genuinely probably the top model for various tasks.”Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

Senators press regulators on Trump’s WLFI stablecoin  
Senators press regulators on Trump’s WLFI stablecoin  

Five Democratic lawmakers in the US Senate have called on leadership at regulatory agencies to consider the potential conflicts of interest from a stablecoin launched by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the crypto firm backed by US President Donald Trump’s family.In a March 28 letter from the US Senate Banking Committee, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and four other Democrats asked the Federal Reserve’s committee chair on supervision and regulation, Michelle Bowman, and acting comptroller of the currency, Rodney Hood, how they intended to regulate WLFI and its stablecoin, USD1.March 28 letter from five Democratic senators to OCC, Fed leadership. Source: US Senate Banking CommitteeThe letter came as members of Congress are considering legislation to regulate stablecoins through the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins, or GENIUS Act. The bill, if signed into law, would essentially allow the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and Federal Reserve to oversee stablecoin regulation, including for issuers like WLFI and its USD1 coin. Trump also signed an executive order in February attempting to have all federal agencies — purportedly including the OCC — “regularly consult with and coordinate policies and priorities” with White House officials, giving the US president unprecedented control. “President Trump’s involvement in this venture, as he strips financial regulators of their independence and Congress simultaneously considers stablecoin legislation, presents an extraordinary conflict of interest that could create unprecedented risks to our financial system and to the integrity of decisions made by the [Fed and OCC],” said the letter, adding: “The launch of a stablecoin directly tied to a sitting President who stands to benefit financially from the stablecoin’s success presents unprecedented risks to our financial system.”Related: Trump’s USD1 stablecoin deepens concerns over conflicts of interestSince World Liberty launched in September 2024 — months before the US election and Trump’s inauguration — many of the firm’s goals have been shrouded in secrecy. The project’s website notes that Trump and some of his family members control 60% of the company’s equity interests. As of March 14, World Liberty had completed two public token sales, netting the company a combined $550 million. On March 24, the project confirmed launching its first stablecoin on the BNB Chain and Ethereum. The president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., also pitched USD1 from the DC Blockchain Summit on March 26 with three of WLFI’s co-founders.Magazine: Trump’s crypto ventures raise conflict of interest, insider trading questions

Open chat
1
BlockFo Chat
Hello 👋, How can we help you?
📱 When you've pressed the BlockFo button, we automatically transfer to WhatsApp 🔝🔐
🖥️ Or, if you use a PC or Mac, then we'll open a new window to load your desktop app.
BlockFo
BlockFo